Category China

China-U.S. Trade: A Good Deal

Handing In Homework The first group of items agreed between the US and China on trade and economic matters were announced a few days ago. As part of the results under the 100-day pledge at the Xi-Trump summit on April 6 – 7, some of these items dramatically demonstrate the benefits of win-win cooperation. There […]

One Belt One Road (OBOR) Forum

As I predicted, the US has decided to send a delegation to the OBOR Forum in Beijing (May 14-16). A total of 29 heads-of-state will personally be in Beijing to attend the Forum. This is China’s official film relating to the OBOR Forum in Beijing. You should watch it to understand China’s world views and […]

China – The Greatest Ponzi Scheme in History?

A friendly commentary and analysis from China-based “doublewood” in reaction to James Rickards’ most recent Daily Reckoning piece entitled, “The Greatest Ponzi Scheme in History.” Certainly, some things to consider… Shadow-Banking Worldwide The situation depicted by Rickards is nothing new. Last month, RMB 30 billion of fake wealth management products (WMP)came to light, which brought up […]

Russian Move Regarding North Korea

Re-ignited Cold War At this point, as a result of the sequence of events in the past few years and other bizarre reasons, the US and Russia have re-ignited a Cold War. One of the characteristics of a Cold War is tic-for-tac actions, dirty tricks, and doing things that would foil or complicate matters for […]

Internet-Plus Phenomenon

Under China’s Internet+ initiative, the use of handphone for payment is becoming prevelant. They just swipe a 2-D barcode with their phones and it is done. I still mostly use the 11% cash payment method. It is nostalgic. Because most users in China prepay money into their Alipay or *WeChat accounts, Alibaba and *Tencent are […]

How China Works — Six Elements

“There is no best, only better.” – Xi Jingping A Grand Delusion I have lived in China for the most part of the past 15 years, during which it developed from a relatively poor country into what its government now officially calls “the early stage of a moderately prosperous society”. The rest of the world […]

Artificial Intelligence: From Qian Xuesen to Alibaba’s Jack Ma

Alibaba founder Jack Ma: AI will cause people ‘more pain than happiness’ Jack Ma has also said that humans only use 3% of their brain power, and science understands less than that about the brain. So to say that AI will surpass human potential is ludicrous. However, he would not mind if the super-processor enables […]

A New Normal

Rapid Changes In The World It is hard to believe that Xi Jingping and Donald Trump met as recently as April 6-7. The world has changed so much in the last couple of weeks that few could recognize it from what it was the week before the Xi-Trump meeting. Instead of a warming of US […]

Doublewood: One Belt One Road (OBOR)

One Belt One Road (“OBOR”) is the designation of China’s initiative in its foreign relations. It embodies China’s vision that peace in the world is best achieved through cooperative development, economic, social and cultural. Along the various routes that had represented the historical Silk Roads on land (the Belt)and the Maritime Route by sea(the Road), […]

Hitler’s Mein Kampf Back in Japanese Schools

Hitler’s autobiography ‘Mein Kampf’ joins Imperial Rescript’s return to classrooms… Actually, a lot has happened in Japan recently with the militarists dashing madly to bring Japan back to being a “normal nation”, meaning precisely what it was before it started the invasion of China (1937) and WWII. The push is led by Prime Minister Shinzo […]

A Nationalist, A Communist and An Independent Walk Into a Bar

This isn’t a joke, those are the top candidates to be the next President of France. And who does this picture remind us of? hmmmmm. French Elections: After Brexit and Trump, France is now saying “Hold My Beer.” The latest polls out of the French Presidential election are showing a 4-way race between a Nationalist […]

“Arabella” Diplomacy

Ivanka Trump’s daughter, Arabella sang a song, recited the 3-character primer, and a Tang Dynasty poem in Chinese for President Xi Jingping and Madame Peng Liyuan. It is going viral in China. Forty-five years ago, an historic breakthrough in US-China relations was achieved through the Nixon visit to Beijing. It was dubbed the “Pingpong” diplomacy. […]

Xi-Trump Summit: According To The Script

This is what I understand to be the possible elements of a script anticipated on the Chinese side of the Xi-Trump summit. 1. Trump would kick off by asking for the sky from China. Xi and his entourage would remain silent, but flash broad congenial smiles at their host, saying without saying, “You are joking. […]

Xi-Trump Meeting

This Thursday, Xi Jingping and Donald Trump will meet for the first time.  Usually, meetings between US and Chinese heads-of-state require a long period of time to prepare.  This will probably go down in history as one that takes place under rather bizarre circumstances, but it may end up being quite significant. Bizarre Circumstances (1) […]

Q1 2017 Market Commentary: Trump, the Fed, Globalists, and Gold

This past quarter in the markets was one of the more interesting three-month periods we’ve had in a while. Not because of what took place, but rather, the lack of what took place, considering the boiling global geopolitical climate. Almost all of Q1 unfolded against a backdrop of zero volatility and confounding complacency not seen […]

Tillerson Meetings in China

Tillerson was warmly received in Beijing by Wang Yi, Yang Jiechi and Xi Jingping.  The time and place for an imminent summit meeting between Trump and Xi have yet to be confirmed and announced.  Instead, Tillerson is saying Trump would look forward to meeting Xi in China, and Xi is saying Mr Trump would be […]

US-China Trade, Currency and Military Skirmishes – Part 2 – The Military

As I was making the final edit of this post, analysts are beginning to observe that the US and Russia are on the verge of plunging into a new Cold War. This will have potentially game-changing effects on the entire global scenario. All minds are straining to assess what this will mean. Unlike the Cold […]

Trump Is Setting Japan Up For A Jewish Treat

By acting too much like an eager beaver, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has become a prey to Donald Trump and his team of distressed financial specialists. Trump grew up in Queens, New York and went on to become a real estate developer in New York City and New Jersey. Having gone in and out […]

Who is Steve Bannon?

“[Trump is a] blunt instrument for us,” Bannon told me. “I really don’t know whether he really gets it or not.” -From Vanity Fair (August, 2016), courtesy of Truthstream Media Who is Steve Bannon? He is a frustrated, angry White male who studies Sun Tzu’s Art Of War in order to plot a comeback. Or […]

Politics Of Coal (as in Charcoal)

This is the first addendum to the topic of US-China trade skirmishes.  It illustrates the difficulties encountered by China in having to deal with an American administration that carries heavy doses of conflicts of interest.  This email deals with one of them – coal. Why Did Trump Talk About Reviving America’s Coal Mines? If I […]

Liberty Blitzkrieg

The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion. - Albert Camus

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Liberty Blitzkrieg

The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion. - Albert Camus