Category Currency Wars

China-U.S. Trade: A Good Deal

Handing In Homework The first group of items agreed between the US and China on trade and economic matters were announced a few days ago. As part of the results under the 100-day pledge at the Xi-Trump summit on April 6 – 7, some of these items dramatically demonstrate the benefits of win-win cooperation. There […]

One Belt One Road (OBOR) Forum

As I predicted, the US has decided to send a delegation to the OBOR Forum in Beijing (May 14-16). A total of 29 heads-of-state will personally be in Beijing to attend the Forum. This is China’s official film relating to the OBOR Forum in Beijing. You should watch it to understand China’s world views and […]

China – The Greatest Ponzi Scheme in History?

A friendly commentary and analysis from China-based “doublewood” in reaction to James Rickards’ most recent Daily Reckoning piece entitled, “The Greatest Ponzi Scheme in History.” Certainly, some things to consider… Shadow-Banking Worldwide The situation depicted by Rickards is nothing new. Last month, RMB 30 billion of fake wealth management products (WMP)came to light, which brought up […]

A Nationalist, A Communist and An Independent Walk Into a Bar

This isn’t a joke, those are the top candidates to be the next President of France. And who does this picture remind us of? hmmmmm. French Elections: After Brexit and Trump, France is now saying “Hold My Beer.” The latest polls out of the French Presidential election are showing a 4-way race between a Nationalist […]

“Arabella” Diplomacy

Ivanka Trump’s daughter, Arabella sang a song, recited the 3-character primer, and a Tang Dynasty poem in Chinese for President Xi Jingping and Madame Peng Liyuan. It is going viral in China. Forty-five years ago, an historic breakthrough in US-China relations was achieved through the Nixon visit to Beijing. It was dubbed the “Pingpong” diplomacy. […]

Xi-Trump Summit: According To The Script

This is what I understand to be the possible elements of a script anticipated on the Chinese side of the Xi-Trump summit. 1. Trump would kick off by asking for the sky from China. Xi and his entourage would remain silent, but flash broad congenial smiles at their host, saying without saying, “You are joking. […]

Q1 2017 Market Commentary: Trump, the Fed, Globalists, and Gold

This past quarter in the markets was one of the more interesting three-month periods we’ve had in a while. Not because of what took place, but rather, the lack of what took place, considering the boiling global geopolitical climate. Almost all of Q1 unfolded against a backdrop of zero volatility and confounding complacency not seen […]

US-China Trade, Currency and Military Skirmishes – Part 2 – The Military

As I was making the final edit of this post, analysts are beginning to observe that the US and Russia are on the verge of plunging into a new Cold War. This will have potentially game-changing effects on the entire global scenario. All minds are straining to assess what this will mean. Unlike the Cold […]

max-keiser

Gonzo Financial Commentator Max Keiser Announces Possible NC Congressional Run

Max Keiser, a gonzo financial commentator for RT, is known for combining the high-flying drama he learned at NYU acting school with knowledge of trading, currency, and markets he began earning as stock broker on Wall Street in the 1980s. He has gained a reputation amongst proponents of Austrian economic theory and libertarianism as a […]

war-on-cash

The War on Cash: Use this letter to contact your representatives

Here’s a letter you can personalize, modify, and email to your senators and congressional representatives. It identifies the nefarious global war on cash, and strongly urges them to fight against it. While it often feels futile to send messages like this to politicians who are overwhelmingly bought and paid for by corporations and special interest […]

Trade, Currency and Military Skirmishes – Part 1

Donald Playing God After only 7 days into the Trump administration, the time it took God to create heaven and earth,  it had already become clear that skirmishes between the US and China will be inevitable. I use the word “skirmish” here, but everybody knows that it can potentially be a euphemism if the discords […]

Doublewood: Roadmap for US-China Relations

Attached is a draft summary of my working paper on A Roadmap For US-China Relations. Matters On Hold At the moment, given the instability in US domestic politics, I believe that China is unlikely to rush into any major initiative with the new American administration. It will spend some time observing. There will be contacts […]

Update: A Tale Of Two Speeches

Xi Jingping delivered his keynote speech at Davos today. He began with a paraphrase from the start of Charles Dickens’ novel, A Tale Of Two Cities: “This is the best of times. This is also the worst of times …” thus he began his keynote address to the annual assembly of the World Economic Forum. […]

Michael Pillsbury In Beijing

Michael Pillsbury, Donald Trump’s supposed go-to man on China, was in Beijing this past weekend. He made a speech in a seminar attended by members of Chinese think-tanks. Referring to his principal’s idea of “making America great again”, Pillsbury said: “If America were to be great again, the road must lead to Beijing.” The Chinese […]

Adapting To Polycentric Reality

One way to understand polycentrism is to draw a parallel with ecosystems. During polycentric times, the key to success is adaptability. In fact, it is the same story as with evolution. Size and overwhelming strength, if not managed and applied appropriately, can be a dangerous liability. It is a lesson we have learnt from the […]

Doublewood: A Polycentric World

The key to looking at all the current global dynamics is to understand the nature of a polycentric reality in the world’s power configuration. Polycentrism is a little-understood phenomenon in the post-WWII world, although it was not an unusual set of circumstances in other periods of world history. Here, I will not elaborate on the historical […]

Trump’s Taiwan Call – Part 2

It is impossible to know with Trump whether some “move” of his is just a poorly controlled impulse (like his Twitter messages) or a calculated effort to create or build a negotiating position. However, we know he doesn’t care about any other countries, so it is unlikely he has the best interests of the people of […]

Doublewood: Trump’s Call from Taiwan

Call From Taiwan This shows Trump’s ignorance. China policy will not be the only area in which Trump will have to “learn on the job”. By the way, he will soon learn also that being the US President is indeed a “job”, i.e., he is an employee and no longer the owner of a business […]

Doublewood: China’s Big Diplomacy Continues

Xi Jingping’s first foreign visit this year starts today. He is heading to Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iran for a round of previously unplanned “work visits”. It was obviously hastily scheduled, and urgently necessitated by recent developments. The blow-up of relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran in the new year has raised the tension and […]

Doublewood: What’s Up With China? – Part 2

Economic Reform and Financial Environment There is a saying: “When Wall Street catches the flu, the world goes on a spin”. Now we should add a saying: “When China sneezes, the Federal Reserve freezes”. Turbulence And The New Normal The current state of global financial turbulence is in part a result of China’s major undertaking […]

Liberty Blitzkrieg

The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion. - Albert Camus

TECHstinkTION

How modern technology is leading to the TECHstinkTION of humanity...

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"It is dangerous to be right in matters on which the established authorities are wrong." - Voltaire

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Liberty Blitzkrieg

The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion. - Albert Camus