Category Markets

WWJD July 2017 Edition

What Would Janet Do? Likely Nothing   Investors have a light economic data week ahead as all eyes point to the Fed and earnings. On the economic front, we have 2Q GDP. Federal Reserve: On Wednesday (7/26), the Fed will release a statement where everybody will be waiting to see if the Federal Reserve decides to […]

A Quiet Data Week, Not So Quiet for Earnings

Investors will turn their attention towards the latest out of earnings as we have a quiet data week. On the economic front, we have Empire State Manufacturing, Building Permits and Housing Starts. Earnings: After our first bout of earnings with the banks last Friday, earnings heat up as investors get to hear from 70 S&P 500 […]

Servers on a Beach

Working much harder than New Jersey Governor Chris Christie ever would   After a heavy week on the economic front, investors will turn their attention to the testimony of Fed Chair Janet Yellen in front of the House Financial Services Committee. On the economic front, we have CPI, Retail Sales and University of Michigan Sentiment. […]

Will Trump Accidentally Lock Himself In a Bathroom Before Meeting Putin??

We can’t get anything passed him at this point   We start off the 2nd half of the year with a shortened trading week for the 4th of July holiday. On the economic front, we have Manufacturing PMI, the Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Payrolls and Average Hourly Earnings. Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate: Non-Farm Payrolls, the […]

Qatar and Beyond

*** In the Middle East, a friend of a friend can be an enemy, and an enemy of an enemy can also be an enemy. It is like an Opium Den in which every participant accuses others of breaking the law. *** A Powder Keg The showdown over Qatar triggered tension over two ongoing processes […]

ethereum-crash

Did Someone Fake Ethereum Creator’s Death to Buy at a Steep Discount?

The creator of Ethereum, a popular cryptocurrency, was rumored on 4Chan to have died in a car crash two days ago. Despite skepticism, the rumor gained enough steam to be picked up in at least one news outlet (article now deleted), and crash the value of Ethereum from Sunday to Monday (with the lingering aftermath […]

Historical Pattern Of Financial Markets

FED Actions This past Wednesday, the Federal Reserve Board raised interest rate by 0.25%, the fourth increase since last year.  At the same time, it announced that it will reduce the size of its balance sheet by USD 30 billion per month, increasing eventually to USD 50 billion per month. When the FED increases or […]

No BBQ, No Bitcoin, At least Our Pets Heads Are Still on

Welcome back. As Memorial Day weekend in the US is the official start of summer, we should start to see volumes in the stock markets head lower for the next few months. On the economic front, this week we have Manufacturing PMI, the Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Payrolls and Average Hourly Earnings. Investors will also look […]

Trump Overseas, What Could Go Wrong??

  Get your popcorn ready (we all know Putin is) as the world watches President Trump’s first overseas trip and meets with other world leaders. He hopefully doesn’t have an international incident that rattles markets ahead of the 3-day weekend coming up for Memorial Day. On the economic front, we have Durable Goods, University of […]

China-U.S. Trade: A Good Deal

Handing In Homework The first group of items agreed between the US and China on trade and economic matters were announced a few days ago. As part of the results under the 100-day pledge at the Xi-Trump summit on April 6 – 7, some of these items dramatically demonstrate the benefits of win-win cooperation. There […]

Where Have All the Traders Gone?

do-do-do, do-do-do As the mainstream media continues to have 24 hour coverage of Comey’s firing, investors will try to concentrate on the quieter than normal markets. On the economic front, we have a quiet week with Building Permits and Housing Starts. Of course North Korea can always saber rattle the markets by launching another missile. […]

At least I Read This Before I Sent It

After watching elected officials vote on a bill and admit to not actually reading it, investors will be looking forward to more stupidity from its elected officials. In the meantime, the adult in the room (the stock market) will be turning its attention to the latest out of earnings and the price of oil. On […]

China – The Greatest Ponzi Scheme in History?

A friendly commentary and analysis from China-based “doublewood” in reaction to James Rickards’ most recent Daily Reckoning piece entitled, “The Greatest Ponzi Scheme in History.” Certainly, some things to consider… Shadow-Banking Worldwide The situation depicted by Rickards is nothing new. Last month, RMB 30 billion of fake wealth management products (WMP)came to light, which brought up […]

VIVE LA VOLATILITÉ

In reaction to our recent Q1 Commentary, there understandably continues to be questions surrounding the confounding lack of volatility and complacency that has pervaded global markets, despite the widespread distress gripping the global geopolitical arena. Many market participants and those watching from the sidelines have been left dumbfounded watching the VIX (Volatility Index) meander around […]

Internet-Plus Phenomenon

Under China’s Internet+ initiative, the use of handphone for payment is becoming prevelant. They just swipe a 2-D barcode with their phones and it is done. I still mostly use the 11% cash payment method. It is nostalgic. Because most users in China prepay money into their Alipay or *WeChat accounts, Alibaba and *Tencent are […]

Still Possibly a Banana Republic: Take 2

Traders will be dealing with déjà vu all over again over a possible government shutdown and a string of earnings. On the economic front, we have Manufacturing PMI, the Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Payrolls and Average Hourly Earnings. Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate: After the disappointing US GDP figure last week, along with radio and Twitter […]

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French Election 2017: Populist Le Pen & Globalist Macron Advance to May 7th Runoff Vote

In today’s French presidential elections, all of France’s mainstream ruling parties have been voted out. Populist anti-immigration candidate Marine Le Pen, and pro-globalism former banker Emmanuel Macron, will be facing off in the runoff vote on May 7th. Menawhile, both the French Socialist and French Republican Parties, which have enjoyed a prime spot in the […]

Doublewood: One Belt One Road (OBOR)

One Belt One Road (“OBOR”) is the designation of China’s initiative in its foreign relations. It embodies China’s vision that peace in the world is best achieved through cooperative development, economic, social and cultural. Along the various routes that had represented the historical Silk Roads on land (the Belt)and the Maritime Route by sea(the Road), […]

A Nationalist, A Communist and An Independent Walk Into a Bar

This isn’t a joke, those are the top candidates to be the next President of France. And who does this picture remind us of? hmmmmm. French Elections: After Brexit and Trump, France is now saying “Hold My Beer.” The latest polls out of the French Presidential election are showing a 4-way race between a Nationalist […]

Xi-Trump Meeting

This Thursday, Xi Jingping and Donald Trump will meet for the first time.  Usually, meetings between US and Chinese heads-of-state require a long period of time to prepare.  This will probably go down in history as one that takes place under rather bizarre circumstances, but it may end up being quite significant. Bizarre Circumstances (1) […]

Liberty Blitzkrieg

The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion. - Albert Camus

Hidden Forces

"It is dangerous to be right in matters on which the established authorities are wrong." - Voltaire

aceloewgold

"It is dangerous to be right in matters on which the established authorities are wrong." - Voltaire

Touch Stone Connect

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